[F1 question] Who might win at Suzuka?
Any chance for Alonso? or will it be Schumacher again? Can Raikkonen be considered as a dark_horse on Sunday?
This is the situation after Qualifying round this Saturday. Guess what happens?
Pos No Driver Team Q1 Q2 Q3
1 6 Felipe Massa Ferrari 1:30.112 1:29.830 1:29.599
2 5 Michael Schumacher Ferrari 1:31.279 1:28.954 1:29.711
3 7 Ralf Schumacher Toyota 1:30.595 1:30.299 1:29.989
4 8 Jarno Trulli Toyota 1:30.420 1:30.204 1:30.039
5 1 Fernando Alonso Renault 1:30.976 1:30.357 1:30.371
6 2 Giancarlo Fisichella Renault 1:31.696 1:30.306 1:30.599
7 12 Jenson Button Honda 1:30.847 1:30.268 1:30.992
8 11 Rubens Barrichello Honda 1:31.972 1:30.598 1:31.478
9 16 Nick Heidfeld Sauber-BMW 1:31.811 1:30.470 1:31.513
10 10 Nico Rosberg Williams-Cosworth 1:30.585 1:30.321 1:31.856
11 3 Kimi Räikkönen McLaren-Mercedes 1:32.080 1:30.827
12 17 Robert Kubica Sauber-BMW 1:31.204 1:31.094
13 4 Pedro de la Rosa McLaren-Mercedes 1:31.581 1:31.254
14 9 Mark Webber Williams-Cosworth 1:31.647 1:31.276
15 20 Vitantonio Liuzzi STR-Cosworth 1:31.741 1:31.943
16 19 Christijan Albers MF1-Toyota 1:32.221 1:33.750
17 14 David Coulthard RBR-Ferrari 1:32.252
18 15 Robert Doornbos RBR-Ferrari 1:32.402
19 21 Scott Speed STR-Cosworth 1:32.867
20 22 Takuma Sato Super Aguri-Honda 1:33.666
21 18 Tiago Monteiro MF1-Toyota 1:33.709
22 23 Sakon Yamamoto Super Aguri-Honda No time
It's anyones race but my money would be on the 8th Championship of Michael Schumacher! Ralph is gonna help him this time too! It's so very easy to speculate, but the risk of anyone else beating the Ferrari Team seems to be minimal. With todays qualifying session showing Massa & both Schumakers ahead of the pack, there will certainly be enough ammunition for 'conspiracy' nutz!
Formula One Grand Prix Suzuka Countdown 21 hours tick tick tick Go Michael! Go!
K-den, M1/NSWMoke aka mikewonaus ;-]
Fuel load-wise, I think the Ferraris and Renaults will pit around about the same time (Renault may go a lap or two further into the race). Ferrari could probably have afforded to put more fuel in, but they probably erred on the side of caution to ensure they get the front row grid positions as Suzuka is not a good overtaking circuit.
I think Ferrari/Bridgestone package have the edge this Sunday, provided that it doesn't rain and no major accident occurs that could mix up the result. Bridgestone tyres seem to work well over a longer run as well, so Micheal should be able to step off the middle part of the podium on Sunday PM with two to four point lead in the championship.
So, if it doesn't rain Ferrari/Bridgestone will win. And the team orders will smoothly allow Schumi to be number one. But if it rains, Alonso is favorite, and Kimi has a good chance as well.
Tyres make a huge difference when cars and drivers are all at maximum level of performance. Therefore, the weather conditions will determine the winner. As most F1 races take place in the dry and tomorrow's race is predicted to take place in the dry, the percentage chances of a Schumacher win are higher than Alonso's and Kimi's based upon what we have seen at Suzyka this weekend so far.
Oh dear me, this is the third time today that I've used 'catbird seat' in an answer; I need a neologism. :-)
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